4/11/2005

Daily Kos :: Exit Polls: The Evidence Demands an Investigation - So what ?

Repeat the democratic mantra: Time to ask for another election reform... Time to ask for another election reform... Time to ask for another election reform... (500 times or more) .. Time to ask for another election reform... How many times do you have to "reform" a house untill you get convinced it's no good ? -- law

Exit Polls: The Evidence Demands an Investigation
by jpol

Tue Apr 5th, 2005 at 21:37:10 CDT

'The fact that, in the 2004 election, all voting equipment technologies except paper ballots were associated with large unexplained exit poll discrepancies all favoring the same party certainly warrants further inquiry.'
(from summary of US Count Votes' exit poll analysis - March 31, 2005)

On March 31, 2005 US Count Votes' National Election Data Archive Project released a report entitled 'Analysis of 2004 Presidential Election Exit Poll Discrepancies,' on the discrepancies between 2004 National Exit Polls conducted by the Edison/Mitofsky Consortium and the official tabulated election results. The report found 'the hypothesis that the voters' intent was not accurately recorded cannot be ruled out and needs further investigation.' The 27-page report bears the imprimatur of an impressive array of academics including nine Ph.D's associated with major U.S. universities including The University of Pennsylvania, Temple, Wisconsin, Utah, Notre Dame, Cornell, Southern Methodist, Illinois at Chicago, and Case Western Reserve.*

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CONTEXT:

As election 2004 approached most of the national polls suggested a razor-close Presidential election. On the eve of the election, polls by Marist, Democracy Corps and FOX all had John Kerry with a narrow 1 to 2% lead in the popular vote, while polls by NBC/Wall Street Journal; Zogby; ABC News; The Washington Post, Harris, CBS News and CNN/USA Today (Gallup) showed George W. Bush with a similar 1 to 2% lead. Gallop's final projection including assignment of undecided voters actually projected a tie at 49% for both candidates."

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