11/24/2004

You wouldn't steal George, would ya?

You wouldn't steal George, would ya?: "You wouldn't steal George, would ya?
Readers Letter 10/25/2004:

If Bush is 're-elected' he will have to change his name to George 'Deiboldya' Bush. The consensus of dozens of polls taken over the last week have 'Deiboldya' stuck on 48%. Not good news. Not Good news at all for the 700 clubbers and other Christian Zionists hoping that 'Deiboldya' will have another four years to bring about the Rapture and Armegeddon.

Why ? Since 1956 no challenger has garnered additional support beyond his final popular vote total estimate as gauged by Gallup. This year I exclude Gallup from calculations because they are using 'bizarre' voter id samples designed to create the illusion of a large Bush lead.. This organisation , until fairly recently, had a remarkable record of accuracy. Ownership has changed and the poll is now sadly a gigantic waste of ink and trees sacrificed to present it's results.

Earlier data is still of academic and research value. Conclusion: Incumbents never make surges from their last horse race number. Currently Deiboldya ,as mentioned, is stuck on 48%. Examples: 1956 Eisenhower's final horserace projection 59.5% , his actual vote total 57.8% 1964: Johnson's final horse race projection 64% , his actual share of the vote 61.3% In 1972 Nixon's final horse race projection tally 62% , his actual vote total 61.8% In 1976 Ford's final horse race projection number 49% ,his % share of the vote 48.1% In 1980, Carter's final horse projection numer 44% , his real % of the vote 41%. In 1984 Reagan final horse race projection tally 59% , his real share of the popular vote 59.2% In 1996 Clinton's final horse race number 52% , his actual share of the vote ,49.2% The alleged miracle comeback of incumbent Harry Truman can not be included in this study because Gallup issued it's 'final' result 2 weeks before the election."

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